10.05.2024 R. STAHL AG  DE000A1PHBB5

Original-Research: R. STAHL AG (von NuWays AG): Kaufen


 

Original-Research: R. STAHL AG - from NuWays AG

Classification of NuWays AG to R. STAHL AG

Company Name: R. STAHL AG
ISIN: DE000A1PHBB5

Reason for the research: Update
Recommendation: Kaufen
from: 10.05.2024
Target price: EUR 29.00
Target price on sight of: 12 Monaten
Last rating change:
Analyst: Christian Sandherr

Final Q1 out // Good start into 2024; chg. est.

Topic: R. Stahl reported a solid final Q1 underpinning the strong demand for electrical explosion protection solutions, which should continue due to favorable structural trends. Management confirmed FY24e guidance, which looks well in reach (eNuW).

To recap, Q1 sales grew 8.5% yoy to € 84.7m, driven by a strong order backlog of € 115m at the end of FY23. Further, while global supply chains remained partially disrupted in the previous year, there were no significant restrictions in Q1 FY24. Q1 adj. EBITDA decreased 19% to € 8.4m with a lower but still solid margin of 9.9% (-3.4 pp) due to inflationary effects from personnel costs, a higher material expense ratio and a € 2m one-off from the implementation of the EXcelerate strategy program; 12.3% adj. EBITDA margin excluding one-offs.

After a subdued order intake of € 74.5m in the fourth quarter, order intake came in surprisingly positive at € 92.3m, only slightly below the exceptionally strong order intake of last year’s Q1 (€ 96.7m). Driven by an increasing stabilization of global supply chains, the order intake in Q4 2023 was negatively affected by active destocking activities from customers in addition to a soft chemical industry in the DACH region. While demand in the chemical industry remained muted, the LNG, and petrochemical industry as well as the nuclear sector showed positive momentum during Q1. Due to the strong order intake, order backlog increased 6% to a solid level of € 122m (end of FY23: € 115m).

Management confirmed its FY24e guidance with sales in the range of € 335 – 350m and adj. EBITDA between € 35 – 45m. Thanks to the good start into the year and a solid order backlog, the guidance seems to be well in reach (eNuW sales: € 347m; adj. EBITDA: € 39.7m). Even more importantly, R. Stahl’s mid-term prospects remain bright as the company strongly benefits from (1) its superior market share along the LNG value chain (liquefaction and shipping: 75%, natural gas production: 50% and regasification 25%), (2) a rising need for production automation across offshore oil and gas rigs, and production plants of several industries and (3) the ongoing nuclear renaissance across Europe.

With that, R. Stahl is well positioned to gradually improve margins, returns and cash flow generation. As shares are trading on only 5.9x EV/EBITDA 2024e we confirm our BUY rating with an unchanged € 29 PT, based on DCF.

You can download the research here:
http://www.more-ir.de/d/29655.pdf
For additional information visit our website www.nuways-ag.com/research.

Contact for questions
NuWays AG - Equity Research
Web: www.nuways-ag.com
Email: [email protected]
LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/nuwaysag Adresse: Mittelweg 16-17, 20148 Hamburg, Germany ++++++++++
Diese Meldung ist keine Anlageberatung oder Aufforderung zum Abschluss bestimmter Börsengeschäfte. Offenlegung möglicher Interessenskonflikte nach § 85 WpHG beim oben analysierten Unternehmen befinden sich in der vollständigen Analyse. ++++++++++

-------------------transmitted by EQS Group AG.-------------------

The issuer is solely responsible for the content of this research. The result of this research does not constitute investment advice or an invitation to conclude certain stock exchange transactions.



Die wichtigsten Finanzdaten auf einen Blick
  2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023e
Umsatzerlöse1 268,46 280,11 274,78 246,59 248,11 274,34 330,56
EBITDA1,2 7,00 9,46 25,27 17,18 16,82 20,59 36,64
EBITDA-Marge3 2,61 3,38 9,20 6,97 6,78 7,51
EBIT1,4 -10,69 -4,16 6,34 0,49 -0,06 3,85 19,12
EBIT-Marge5 -3,98 -1,49 2,31 0,20 -0,02 1,40 5,78
Jahresüberschuss1 -21,78 -7,00 1,35 -3,53 -4,93 1,93 0,18
Netto-Marge6 -8,11 -2,50 0,49 -1,43 -1,99 0,70 0,05
Cashflow1,7 19,75 18,22 19,62 17,86 11,86 5,99 14,22
Ergebnis je Aktie8 -3,28 -1,10 0,21 -0,54 -0,76 0,30 0,03
Dividende8 0,00 0,00 0,00 0,00 0,00 0,00 0,60
Quelle: boersengefluester.de und Firmenangaben

  Geschäftsbericht 2023 - Kostenfrei herunterladen.  
1 in Mio. Euro; 2 EBITDA = Ergebnis vor Zinsen, Steuern und Abschreibungen; 3 EBITDA in Relation zum Umsatz; 4 EBIT = Ergebnis vor Zinsen und Steuern; 5 EBIT in Relation zum Umsatz; 6 Jahresüberschuss (-fehlbetrag) in Relation zum Umsatz; 7 Cashflow aus der gewöhnlichen Geschäftstätigkeit; 8 in Euro; Quelle: boersengefluester.de

Wirtschaftsprüfer: BDO

INVESTOR-INFORMATIONEN
©boersengefluester.de
R. Stahl
WKN Kurs in € Einschätzung Börsenwert in Mio. €
A1PHBB 20,600 Kaufen 132,66
KGV 2025e KGV 10Y-Ø BGFL-Ratio Shiller-KGV
8,69 27,83 0,31 -77,15
KBV KCV KUV EV/EBITDA
1,96 9,33 0,40 6,57
Dividende '22 in € Dividende '23e in € Div.-Rendite '23e
in %
Hauptversammlung
0,00 0,00 0,00 27.06.2024
Q1-Zahlen Q2-Zahlen Q3-Zahlen Bilanz-PK
08.05.2024 08.08.2024 06.11.2024 17.04.2024
Abstand 60Tage-Linie Abstand 200Tage-Linie Performance YtD Performance 52 Wochen
-3,14% -5,76% -0,96% -8,04%
    
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