18.04.2024 R. Stahl AG  DE000A1PHBB5

Original-Research: R. Stahl AG (von NuWays AG): Kaufen


 

Original-Research: R. Stahl AG - from NuWays AG

Classification of NuWays AG to R. Stahl AG

Company Name: R. Stahl AG
ISIN: DE000A1PHBB5

Reason for the research: Update
Recommendation: Kaufen
from: 18.04.2024
Target price: EUR 29.00
Target price on sight of: 12 Monaten
Last rating change:
Analyst: Christian Sandherr

Strong FY23 results with a record high in revenue; chg. est.

Topic: R. Stahl confirmed its strong FY23 prelims and released a promising FY24e guidance supported by a solid preliminary first quarter revenue of € 84.7m.

To recap, FY23 sales increased by 21% yoy to a record high of € 331m, exceeding the guidance range of € 305-320m. The remarkable increase in revenue was carried by an unbroken demand for electrical explosion protection solutions in the LNG and gas industry as well as further improved supply chains and price increases. The adj. EBITDA grew by 73% to € 38.6m, hitting the guidance range of € 35-40m with a significantly improved margin of 11.7% (+3.6 pp) due to price increases as well as a good utilization of production capacities and targeted cost management.

What’s new: Free Cashflow improved to € 0.3m (FY23: € -4.4m), due to a strong operating performance and despite a further expansion of working capital. For instance, inventories and prepayments rose 30% yoy to € 64m (FY22: € 37m) due to an increased stock in electronic materials. Furthermore, R. Stahl recognized a full impairment of the 25% stake in the Russian company ZAVOD Goreltex as expected (NuWays Update 16.02.2024). However, the € 10.3m write-off did not affect liquidity and adjusting for the impairment, EBT would have been € 12.3m (FY22: € 3.9m).

Solid Q1 sales with profitability on a high level: Preliminary sales in the first quarter came in at € 84.7m (eNuW: € 81m), an 8.5% increase yoy (Q1 FY23: € 78.1m). After a subdued order intake of € 74.5 in the fourth quarter, due to a soft chemical industry in the DACH region, order intake came in at € 92.3m, slightly below last year (Q1 2023: € 96.7m). Adj. EBITDA in the first quarter decreased 19% to € 8.4m (eNuW: € 7.9m), with a lower but still solid margin of 9.9% (-3.4 pp) due to higher personnel costs and a € 2m one-off from the implementation of the EXcelerate strategy program.

Conservative FY24e guidance: Management expects sales in the range of € 335-350m (eNuW: € 347m) and an adj. EBITDA of € 35-45m (eNuW: € 39.7m) supported by a strong demand from the LNG industry. In our view, the guidance seems reasonable thanks to R. Stahl having done its homework by implementing changes on the back of efficiency, structural trends kicking in and a high preliminary order backlog of € 123m at the end of Q1. We reiterate our BUY rating with a slightly reduced PT of € 29 (old: € 31), based on DCF.

You can download the research here:
http://www.more-ir.de/d/29451.pdf
For additional information visit our website www.nuways-ag.com/research.

Contact for questions
NuWays AG - Equity Research
Web: www.nuways-ag.com
Email: [email protected]
LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/nuwaysag Adresse: Mittelweg 16-17, 20148 Hamburg, Germany ++++++++++
Diese Meldung ist keine Anlageberatung oder Aufforderung zum Abschluss bestimmter Börsengeschäfte. Offenlegung möglicher Interessenskonflikte nach § 85 WpHG beim oben analysierten Unternehmen befinden sich in der vollständigen Analyse. ++++++++++

-------------------transmitted by EQS Group AG.-------------------

The issuer is solely responsible for the content of this research. The result of this research does not constitute investment advice or an invitation to conclude certain stock exchange transactions.



Die wichtigsten Finanzdaten auf einen Blick
  2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023e
Umsatzerlöse1 268,46 280,11 274,78 246,59 248,11 274,34 330,56
EBITDA1,2 7,00 9,46 25,27 17,18 16,82 20,59 36,64
EBITDA-Marge3 2,61 3,38 9,20 6,97 6,78 7,51
EBIT1,4 -10,69 -4,16 6,34 0,49 -0,06 3,85 19,12
EBIT-Marge5 -3,98 -1,49 2,31 0,20 -0,02 1,40 5,78
Jahresüberschuss1 -21,78 -7,00 1,35 -3,53 -4,93 1,93 0,18
Netto-Marge6 -8,11 -2,50 0,49 -1,43 -1,99 0,70 0,05
Cashflow1,7 19,75 18,22 19,62 17,86 11,86 5,99 14,22
Ergebnis je Aktie8 -3,28 -1,10 0,21 -0,54 -0,76 0,30 0,03
Dividende8 0,00 0,00 0,00 0,00 0,00 0,00 0,60
Quelle: boersengefluester.de und Firmenangaben

  Geschäftsbericht 2023 - Kostenfrei herunterladen.  
1 in Mio. Euro; 2 EBITDA = Ergebnis vor Zinsen, Steuern und Abschreibungen; 3 EBITDA in Relation zum Umsatz; 4 EBIT = Ergebnis vor Zinsen und Steuern; 5 EBIT in Relation zum Umsatz; 6 Jahresüberschuss (-fehlbetrag) in Relation zum Umsatz; 7 Cashflow aus der gewöhnlichen Geschäftstätigkeit; 8 in Euro; Quelle: boersengefluester.de

Wirtschaftsprüfer: BDO

INVESTOR-INFORMATIONEN
©boersengefluester.de
R. Stahl
WKN Kurs in € Einschätzung Börsenwert in Mio. €
A1PHBB 20,800 Kaufen 133,95
KGV 2025e KGV 10Y-Ø BGFL-Ratio Shiller-KGV
8,78 27,89 0,31 -77,90
KBV KCV KUV EV/EBITDA
1,98 9,42 0,41 6,60
Dividende '22 in € Dividende '23e in € Div.-Rendite '23e
in %
Hauptversammlung
0,00 0,00 0,00 27.06.2024
Q1-Zahlen Q2-Zahlen Q3-Zahlen Bilanz-PK
08.05.2024 08.08.2024 06.11.2024 17.04.2024
Abstand 60Tage-Linie Abstand 200Tage-Linie Performance YtD Performance 52 Wochen
-2,95% -5,20% 0,00% -5,45%
    
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