24.04.2024 USU Software AG  DE000A0BVU28

Original-Research: USU Software AG (von NuWays AG): Verkaufen


 

Original-Research: USU Software AG - from NuWays AG

Classification of NuWays AG to USU Software AG

Company Name: USU Software AG
ISIN: DE000A0BVU28

Reason for the research:
Recommendation: Verkaufen
from: 24.04.2024
Target price: EUR 18.50
Target price on sight of: 12 Monaten
Last rating change:
Analyst: Philipp Sennewald

Higher than expected offer price still way below intrinsic value

Yesterday, USU announced to have reached a delisting-agreement with AUSUM GmbH (Udo Strehl) and NUNUS GmbH, a wholly owned subsidiary of AUSUM. While AUSUM already holds 53.7% of voting rights in USU, NUNUS currently does not hold any shares. On the basis of the agreement, NUNUS will offer the shareholders of USU approximately € 18.50 per share in the context of a voluntary public delisting offer. USU will submit an application to revoke the admission of the shares to the regulated market as well as all OTC markets already before the end of the offer period.

Mind you, in an initial statement on the intention to delist on March 12th, it was stated that the offer price
should be expected to be equivalent to the statutory minimum price, e.g. the volume-weighted average
price of the past six months. According to our calculations, this would have resulted in an offer price of € 17.00 per share.

While the actual offer price is now seen to be some 9% above our and markets expectations, it is still way below the intrinsic fair value of € 30, according to our DCF valuation model (2.5% LT growth, 7.6% WACC, 12.5% TY EBIT margin).

Our view: Although € 18.50 is still not a fair offer (eNuW), we advise investors who have no intention of being invested in a highly illiquid asset to tender their shares once the delisting offer has been made. While we previously advised investors to HOLD the stock in anticipation of a higher-than-expected offer, we now change our recommendation to SELL at an increase PT of € 18.50, as we do not expect anymore upside. Yet, given the vast discount to the intrincis value, the case might be of interest for special situation investors, who are eyeing for a potential squeeze-out at a later stage.

You can download the research here:
http://www.more-ir.de/d/29511.pdf
For additional information visit our website www.nuways-ag.com/research.

Contact for questions
NuWays AG - Equity Research
Web: www.nuways-ag.com
Email: [email protected]
LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/nuwaysag Adresse: Mittelweg 16-17, 20148 Hamburg, Germany ++++++++++
Diese Meldung ist keine Anlageberatung oder Aufforderung zum Abschluss bestimmter Börsengeschäfte. Offenlegung möglicher Interessenskonflikte nach § 85 WpHG beim oben analysierten Unternehmen befinden sich in der vollständigen Analyse. ++++++++++

-------------------transmitted by EQS Group AG.-------------------

The issuer is solely responsible for the content of this research. The result of this research does not constitute investment advice or an invitation to conclude certain stock exchange transactions.



Die wichtigsten Finanzdaten auf einen Blick
  2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023e
Umsatzerlöse1 84,36 90,49 95,63 107,33 111,90 126,52 132,08
EBITDA1,2 6,84 5,51 9,92 13,38 14,39 16,84 12,43
EBITDA-Marge3 8,11 6,09 10,37 12,47 12,86 13,31
EBIT1,4 3,22 2,71 4,05 7,02 9,67 11,80 7,62
EBIT-Marge5 3,82 2,99 4,24 6,54 8,64 9,33 5,77
Jahresüberschuss1 3,37 0,96 5,27 5,48 6,76 7,58 5,28
Netto-Marge6 3,99 1,06 5,51 5,11 6,04 5,99 4,00
Cashflow1,7 5,17 2,00 9,52 17,74 13,35 10,37 7,88
Ergebnis je Aktie8 0,32 0,09 0,50 0,52 0,64 0,72 0,50
Dividende8 0,40 0,40 0,40 0,40 0,50 0,55 0,40
Quelle: boersengefluester.de und Firmenangaben

  Geschäftsbericht 2023 - Kostenfrei herunterladen.  
1 in Mio. Euro; 2 EBITDA = Ergebnis vor Zinsen, Steuern und Abschreibungen; 3 EBITDA in Relation zum Umsatz; 4 EBIT = Ergebnis vor Zinsen und Steuern; 5 EBIT in Relation zum Umsatz; 6 Jahresüberschuss (-fehlbetrag) in Relation zum Umsatz; 7 Cashflow aus der gewöhnlichen Geschäftstätigkeit; 8 in Euro; Quelle: boersengefluester.de

Wirtschaftsprüfer: RSM Ebner Stolz

INVESTOR-INFORMATIONEN
©boersengefluester.de
USU Software
WKN Kurs in € Einschätzung Börsenwert in Mio. €
A0BVU2 18,400 Halten 193,64
KGV 2025e KGV 10Y-Ø BGFL-Ratio Shiller-KGV
20,44 30,47 0,67 33,95
KBV KCV KUV EV/EBITDA
3,75 24,56 1,47 14,58
Dividende '22 in € Dividende '23e in € Div.-Rendite '23e
in %
Hauptversammlung
0,55 0,55 2,99 02.07.2024
Q1-Zahlen Q2-Zahlen Q3-Zahlen Bilanz-PK
23.05.2024 29.08.2024 21.11.2024 28.03.2024
Abstand 60Tage-Linie Abstand 200Tage-Linie Performance YtD Performance 52 Wochen
4,30% 6,95% 9,20% -28,96%
    
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Software , A0BVU2 , OSP2 , XETR:OSP2